SOLAR WATER HEATING (SWH) NAMA CONCEPT
FOR THE INDUSTRIAL, COMMERCIAL AND RESIDENTIAL SECTORS IN BELIZE
Luis Guerra
Mr. Guerra is an Environmental Engineer with a M. Sc. in Renewable
Energy Management. He is currently working as a consultant for the
Latin American Energy Organization (OLADE) on projects related to
mitigation and adaptation to climate change.
luis.guerra@olade.org
Executive summary is written by OLADE, drawn from the consultancy work
of María Luz Farah, of the consulting firm POCH by WSP.
Received: 31/08/2018 and Accepted: 06/09/2018
ENERLAC. Volume II. Number 1. September, 2018 (136-157).
ABSTRACT
The SWH NAMA in Belize aims to implement the solar water heating
technology for the industrial, commercial and residential sectors, with
the objective of reducing the emission of greenhouse gases from the use
of fossil fuels for water heating through the installation and use of
solar collectors and storage tanks. It includes an estimation of the
GHG emission reductions expected for the implementation of the project,
considering several scenarios according to the current situation and
using appropriate methodologies to assess these estimations; and an
analysis of the financial and technical support required and estimation
of the financial and technological resources needed for the proper
development of the SWH NAMA.
Keywords: Climate Change, Solar
Water Heating, Nationally Determined Contributions, National
Appropriate Mitigation Action, Belize
RESUMEN
El NAMA SWH en Belice tiene como objetivo implementar la tecnología de
calentamiento solar de agua para los sectores industrial, comercial y
residencial, con el objetivo de reducir la emisión de gases de efecto
invernadero por el uso de combustibles fósiles para el calentamiento de
agua a través de la instalación y uso de colectores solares y tanques
de almacenamiento. Incluye una estimación de las reducciones de
emisiones de GEI esperadas para la implementación del proyecto,
considerando varios escenarios de acuerdo a la situación actual y
utilizando metodologías apropiadas para evaluar estas estimaciones; y
un análisis del apoyo financiero y técnico requerido y una estimación
de los recursos financieros y tecnológicos necesarios para el correcto
desarrollo del NAMA SWH.
Palabras Clave: Cambio
Climático, Calentamiento Solar de Agua, Contribuciones Determinadas a
Nivel Nacional, Acciones Nacionales Apropiadas de Mitigación, Belice
INTRODUCTION
The SWH NAMA in Belize is a project that aims to implement the solar
water heating technology for the industrial, commercial and residential
sectors, with the objective of reducing the emission of greenhouse
gases from the use of fossil fuels for water heating through the
installation and use of solar collectors and storage tanks.
The development of an efficient and effective Solar Water Heating NAMA
concept for the industrial, commercial and residential sectors in
Belize requires, the evaluation of institutional stakeholders in order
to define the specific roles for the NAMA implementation. Also,
estimations of the GHG emission reductions expected for the
implementation of the project, considering several scenarios according
to the current situation and using appropriate methodologies to assess
these estimations, were elaborated. Followed by a barriers analysis
that has the objective of identifying and analyzing the way and the
level in which the barriers would affect the implementation of the SWH
NAMA. Furthermore, the analysis of the financial and technical support
required and estimation of the financial and technological resources
needed, allows the identification of the most relevant requirements for
the proper development of the SWH NAMA. It also helps with the
establishment of the main planning priorities, before and during the
SWH NAMA operation. Finally, the development of an MRV framework is
also key step for a NAMA since the results of this process enables the
country to consistently track the performance of the project.
RELEVANT INFORMATION FOR THE SWH NAMA
The following is a summary of the relevant information for the SWH NAMA
concept, showing important data available in the consulted documents.
National context Population
According to the 2010 census, Belize has a population of 322,453 and
a density of 14.1 (Pop/km2). Urban population corresponds to 52%, with
a 3.1% urbanization rate estimated between 2005 and 2010. Poverty rate
in Belize is 41.3% (The Statistical Institute of Belize, 2017).
Economy
Belize has a small economy, based primarily on agriculture, commerce,
tourism and construction. Agriculture represents 30% of the GDP and
provides 70% of the importations incomes. The most relevant products
are bananas and sugar cane. The most developed industries are textile,
agrifood, tourism and construction.
According to the Central Bank of Belize, in 2015 the tertiary sector
represented 61% of the country’s GDP, of which the wholesale and retail
trade is the most relevant sub sector (Central Bank of Belize, 2017).
The travel and tourism sector in Belize has grown considerably in the
recent years, and it has become an important industry of the nation,
with a direct contribution of 495.5 BZDmn in nominal prices in the year
2015 (14% of the GDP) and a total contribution of 1,309.1 BZDmn in
nominal prices in the same year (40% of the GDP), including other
impacts in the domestic supply chain, capital investment, other related
incomes (Central Bank of Belize, 2017) & (World Travel and Tourism
Council, 2017).
Belize has high energy dependence because of the percentage of imported
energy, which leads to high costs and inadequate energy data; although
the energy sector is a main source of government revenue (e.g., fuel
taxes, license fees and royalties) (REEP, 2011).
Energy sector
The Energy Report 2015 (Ministry of Public Service, Energy and Public
Utilities, 2015), made by the Ministry of Public Service, Energy and
Public Utilities, presents the general data of the energy sector,
showing the total consumption and production in Belize during 2015.
According to the report, the energy generation in Belize during 2015
was 8,592 TJ, comprising of:
Figure 1. Domestic energy production by primary energy content in 2015.
Source: Ministry of Public
Service, Energy and Public Utilities, 2015
On the other hand, Belize imported 9,822 TJ, most of its total energy
supply. In the case of electricity generation, during 2015, a total of
656,530 MWh were produced with a total installed capacity of 141.78 MW.
The fuel distribution of this generation is shown in figure 2.
Figure 2. Breakdown of
electricity generation output by primary fuel in 2015.
Source: Ministry of Public
Service, Energy and Public Utilities, 2015
The document “Overcoming barriers EE and RE” (Castalia, 2014) presents
a series of graphics with information that explains the energy
consumption by several classifications, as the ones below:
Figure 3. Purpose of heat
energy by sector
Source: Castalia, 2014
The graphic shows the uses of the heat consumption in the Residential,
Commercial and Industrial sector. Hot water for sanitary purposes is
only used in the residential and commercial sector; and cooking is the
main use in these sectors. In the other hand, the industrial sector
uses heat for several processes.
Figure 4. Generation share in
Belize
Source: Castalia, 2014
As shown above, BAU scenario for Generation share includes a high
dependence on electricity imports (CFE, 55%), which is expected to
change with the introduction of renewable energy technologies to
Belize’s grid.
The document “Toward a national energy policy. Assessment of the energy
sector in Belize” (REEP, 2011) presents information about the
characteristics of energy generation in Belize and the main fossil
fuels that are used in the country for lightning and cooking.
Furthermore, it also includes the actual description of the renewable
energies share.
The National Energy Policy Framework (Government of Belize, 2012)
presents estimated comparative costs for the electricity sources which
includes the installation of solar water heaters. This – as opposed to
solar PV - makes sense in Belize’s context because the per-KWh cost of
solar thermal ($0.11 USD per KWh on average) is lower than grid
electricity ($0.12 USD per KWh); but the cost of solar PV is much
higher than grid electricity”.
The same document also presents some projections to 2040, for lightning
and water heating. The predictions are as follows:
a) Shift away from electric to solar lighting. By 2040: electric
lighting (75%) and solar lighting (25%).
b) Shift towards using solar and geothermal technologies for cooling.
By 2040: electric cooling (50%), geothermal cooling (25%) and solar
cooling (25%).
c) Total phasing out of electric water heating. By 2040: LPG water
heating (10%), solar water heating (70%) and geothermal water heating
(20%).
Furthermore, it includes potential policies for the implementation of
SWH systems, which are presented in the Policy section below.
Climate Change
The following paragraphs show the information included in Belize’s INDC
and National Communications.
Belize has submitted its INDC to the UNFCCC during the COP21, and its
NDC in April 2016, in matters of mitigation in the energy sector, the
NDC shows that the Sustainable Energy Strategy and Action Plan states
the goal of becoming a low carbon economy by 2033, improving energy
efficiency and conservation, with an energy intensity reduction of at
least 30% by 2033 and a fuel imports dependency reduction of 50% by
2020 due to increasing renewable energies.
The specific goal is to increase the share of renewable energies up to
85% by 2030 by implementing hydropower, solar, wind and biomass, and
reduction of transmission and distribution losses.
Furthermore, Belize has submitted three National Communications to the
UNFCCC. The Third Communication presents Belize’s national inventory of
anthropogenic emissions by sources and removals by sinks. Key source
assessments for reference years 2003, 2006 and 2009 were conducted and
sought to capture new sources and sinks in addition to those described
in the Initial and Second National Communications that might have
arisen because of recent developments in the country.
Table 1. Emissions estimates.
Source: National Climate Change
Office, 2016
The document “Overcoming Barriers EE and RE” (Castalia, 2014) includes
SWH as one of the proposed technologies to displace electricity
consumption as an energy efficiency measure:
And also to displace LPG
use in the residential and commercial sectors:
Another report that includes SWH is “Belize’s Sustainable Energy
Strategy Final (Vol 2)” (Ministry of Energy, 2015). It presents a
financial assessment for the installation of SWH systems in the
commercial, industrial and residential sectors.
Commercial Solar Hot Water
The main fuel that would be displaced is LPG, with a displacement rate
of 95%.
Costs would reach an average of BZ$15,0001 for the installation of a
5kWth system, which would be paid off in 5.5 years.
Solar Industrial Process Heat
In the industrial sector, the solar heating technology considered was
the concentrated solar power with parabolic trough devices; this would
result in higher capitals costs for the industrial sector compared with
the residential and commercial sector. This application is to produce
steam and not hot water, which makes the payback period longer (60
years).
Table 2. SWH in industrial
sector.
Source: Ministry of Energy,
Science & Technology and Public Utilities, 2015
Residential Solar Hot Water
In the case of residential SWH, the displacement of an 85% of the
annual LPG use would mean an average investment of BZ$3,500 which
should be paid off in 1.3 years.
Solar Hot Water Production Potential
The potential of SWH technologies in Belize were assessed for two
scenarios, both for a typical residential unit and a commercial user (a
hotel). The estimated demand for a US residential building considered
for a 12.2 gallons per person per day demand. On the other hand, the
hotel demand was estimated considering 24 rooms serving 12,000
persons-day per year.
Figure 5 shows the annual average daily load profile for hot water
demand in kWth.
Figure 5. Annual profile.
Source: Ministry of Energy, Science & Technology and Public
Utilities, 2015
The results of the analysis show that for the residential sector the
optimum system displaces 94% of the conventional fuel with a 9.9%
capacity factor, and for the commercial sector the optimum system
displaces 64% of the fuel with a 16.9% of the SWH capacity factor, as
shown on table 3.
Table 3. SWH Demand assessment.
Source: Ministry of Energy,
Science & Technology and Public Utilities, 2015
Even though the study “Belize’s Sustainable Energy Strategy Final
(Vol2)” (Ministry of Energy, 2015), shows targets and potential of GHG
reduction due to the implementation of SWH, this NAMA Concept will
estimate a potential according to the field validation as a result of
the first mission (please see Annex 1 for details regarding the
mission).
Purpose and objectives of the SWH NAMA
The SWH NAMA aims to implement solar water heaters in the residential,
commercial and industrial sectors in Belize; its main objective is to
reduce the GHG emissions of the country, to generate a more sustainable
scenario for the energy sector and a global access to clean and
renewable energy.
A gradual implementation of the SWH systems is expected, considering a
13 years term in order to meet the “Belize Sustainable Development
Strategy” goals related to climate change. The primary scope for the
NAMA is to reach an 80% of the buildings, considering the ones that
are, at the moment, capable of sustain the SWH system. Additionally, a
pilot project is intended to be applied in the early years of the
project, in order to identify further requirements and to test the
proposed planning and implementation terms.
Analysis of institutional stakeholders
The stakeholder analysis is a key topic for the determination of the
actual capacities of the country for the NAMA management and
implementation. Also, it can be helpful for the planning and
coordination needs through the lifetime of the project.
In this context, an institutional stakeholder is any organization
related to the NAMA, who will be actually implementing the action or
providing necessary conditions for the NAMA implementation. These
institutional stakeholders could be public sector stakeholders (e.g.
the related ministries or related units/offices), private sector
stakeholders (e.g. providers and private banks) and supporting entities
(e.g. development banks).
The identified institutional stakeholders for the SWH NAMA are the
following:
-
Energy Unit of the Ministry of Public Service, Energy and Public
Utilities
-
National Climate Change Office
-
Public Utilities Commission
-
SWH systems providers
-
Private financial institutions
-
Development Finance Corporation
Policies
Main policies related to SWH are:
National Energy Policy Framework (Government of Belize, 2012): It
includes SWH as an energy alternative to displace fossil fuels
consumption, under the micro-generation technologies proposal. It also
shows estimations on how SWH could be implemented according to Belize’s
conditions, as the following paragraph stands:
“If we assume that all concrete houses are capable of supporting solar
water heating systems, then almost all of the water heating needs of
50% of the households in Belize can be met by using solar water
heaters, particularly during the warmer and sunnier days of the year.
This conclusion is drawn from insights gotten from the IEA Buildings
Technology Roadmap 2010 which reports that “solar water- heating
systems for single-family dwellings are relatively small, with
collector areas of 4 m2 to 6 m2, and meet 20% to 70% of average
domestic hot water needs”.
Belize Sustainable Energy Strategy (Ministry of Energy, 2015): This
document presents technical information for several technologies, which
includes solar water heating as one of them.
Growth Sustainable Development Strategy (Ministry of Economic
Development, Government of Belize, 2016): Besides this document does
not state SWH specifically, it aims to guide the development of Belize
for the period 2016-2019, considering sustainable development as one
of its principles. This strategy is based on critical success factors,
where renewable energy and low-carbon development are accounted.
The most relevant information included in this document is shown in the
Solar Water Heating information section.
ESTIMATION OF THE IMPACTS OF THE SWH
NAMA
The Solar Water Heating NAMA will be implemented in these 3 sectors:
Table 4. SWH NAMA accounted
sectors
Source: Own elaboration, 2017
Baseline scenario
The Baseline scenario for the SWH NAMA in Belize is usually developed
by calculating the GHG emissions generated by the fuel and electricity
consumption from the water heating processes across the country;
particularly in the aforementioned sectors. As the required information
for the specific fuel and electricity consumption is not available, a
baseline emissions scenario can’t be directly calculated. Nevertheless,
based on the emissions savings calculations of the SWH systems
implementation and estimation of the baseline, GHG emissions can be
determined.
In section 3.4 the method for this calculation is presented given that
the complete baseline scenario cannot be calculated considering the
available information. Instead, an estimation of the fuel and
electricity consumption by building unit (household, commercial or
industrial) has been made from the emission reduction calculation. This
allowed for the different GHG emission projections and scenarios.
NAMA scenario
The NAMA scenario corresponds to the situation in which the SWH systems
are already installed in the determined buildings and households,
reducing the GHG emissions from the previous use of electricity and
fossil fuels. The emission reduction produced in the NAMA scenario was
calculated according to the hot water demand and the share that was
covered by the SWH system, taking into consideration its size and
performance.
Potential impacts of the NAMA
The implementation of the NAMA will potentially result in reduction of
the GHG emissions and it can also have other non-GHG impacts, which
would include the potential sustainable development benefits of
implementing SWHs in Belize. In order to identify all the effects, a
causal chain will be mapped, following the Policy and Action Standard
document of the Greenhouse Gas Protocol (World Resources Institute,
2014).
Figure 6. Causal chain
Source: Own elaboration, 2017
A causal chain represents a diagram that “trace the process by which
NAMA brings different effects through a series of logical and
sequential related stages”. Due to complexity of possible cause effect
relations of NAMA actions and the impossibility of mapping all possible
effects, a causal chain will be always incomplete.
GHG impacts of the NAMA
In order to define the methodology that was used to calculate the GHG
emission reduction of the SWH NAMA, a research of available applicable
methodologies from climate change related mechanisms as CDM, VCS or CAR
was carried out. Nevertheless, the only methodology that fits the
requirements of the NAMA is the CDM Small Scale Methodology “AMS-I.J.:
Solar water heating systems (SWH) --- Version 1.0”.
This methodology is focused on residential and commercial SWH systems
for hot water production, presenting guidelines for the determination
of the Baseline scenario and the Emission Reductions calculation
according to the energy savings from the project. This is then
multiplied by an emission factor for the electricity and/or fossil fuel
displaced, as shown on the following equation.
Where,
ER = ( IFC – AFC ) * EF
ER: Emission reduction (tCO2e)
IFC: Initial fuel consumption (kWh)
AFC: Actual fuel consumption (kWh)
EF: Fuel emission factor (tCO2e/kWh)
Projections
Considering the values for the emission reduction, a projection for
each sector was made using the following data:
Table 5. Projection input
values.
Source: Own elaboration, 2017
Available information, geographical data and general estimations were
used as input for the emission reduction calculation using the
RETScreen software.
Total emission reductions
The following table shows the total emission reductions considering the
separate fuel types scenarios.
Table 6. Total emission
reductions.
Source: Own elaboration, 2017
Sustainable development benefits of
the NAMA
Beside from GHG emission reductions from the SWH NAMA implementation in
Belize, there are several benefits to other areas of the country’s
development; those can be classified as social, economic,
environmental, technological and institutional, and may be
contributions to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals.
As seen on the figure 12, there are 17 Sustainable Development Goals,
from which the most relevant for the SWH NAMA are:
Figure 12. Belize Sustainable
Development Goals.
Source: United Nations
Development Programme in Belize, 2017
1. No poverty: Even though the
SWH NAMA is not directly related to economic issues, it certainly
contributes to fighting poverty, allowing people to access to
sustainable energy and long-term savings from the fuel and electricity
consumption that was avoided.
7. Affordable and Clean Energy:
The implementation of SWH systems across the country would increase and
improve the access to hot water through sustainable technologies,
making it affordable for the population, commercial establishments
and industries.
9. Industry, innovation and
infrastructure: The SWH NAMA aims to implement solar water
heaters in several types of buildings, introducing and promoting this
technology across the country.
11. Sustainable cities and communities:
The implementation of SWH systems certainly contributes to more
sustainable cities replacing the electricity and fossil fuel
consumption with renewable energy for water heating.
13. Climate action: The SWH
NAMA aims directly reduce the GHG emissions in Belize through the
replacement of fossil fuels and electricity consumption, contributing
to the country’s NDC.
IDENTIFICATION AND ANALYSIS OF BARRIERS
The SWH implementation in Belize could face different type of barriers,
such as economic and financial, regulatory and institutional, technical
and market barriers at different levels: government, users, financial
institutions and providers. The analysis of barriers provides useful
information in order to define the potential interventions of the NAMA,
aiming to reduce and overcome the barriers.
Typology of barriers
Based on a literature review of the potential barriers for the
implementation of NAMAs, and for the implementation of SWH systems, a
typology of barriers was defined with the purpose of representing the
analytical framework for the barriers analysis.
The following table shows the identified barriers and its qualification
is presented.
Table 7. Identified Barriers.
Source: Own elaboration, 2017
ANALYSIS OF THE FINANCIAL AND
TECHNICAL SUPPORT REQUIRED AND ESTIMATION OF THE FINANCIAL AND
TECHNOLOGICAL RESOURCES NEEDED
The various NAMA implementation and operation stages require different
technical and financial resources. The initial assessment of the
required technical and financial resources is presented in this section.
Administration and financing
The National Climate Change Office (NCCO) is the entity that must be in
charge of the SWH NAMA administration and financing management,
assuming a coordination role for the development of the project.
Additionally, other institutions should collaborate with the
implementation of the NAMA. The Energy Unit of the Ministry of Public
Service, Energy and Public Utilities can be responsible for the design
and implementation of the project during its development; the Public
Utilities Commission can also be part of the implementation process,
through the certification and supervision of the equipment and
technicians.
The organization in charge of the SWH NAMA management needs to
administrate the financial resources for the several requirements of
the NAMA: Investment for pilot projects, financing mechanisms for the
industrial and commercial sector.
Direct investment on SWH
The development of the SWH NAMA will require a proper investment and
budget management for the following:
-
NAMA development and implementation: The development of the SWH NAMA
will require appropriate management of its financial resources in order
to achieve all the project administration needs.
-
Technical capacities development: Improvement of the management
capacities for the SWH NAMA administration and implementation;
Suppliers registration in order to keep updated records of the
available providers, installers and maintenance technicians for the
project.
Divulgation and communication
In order to ensure the expected results of the SWH NAMA implementation,
divulgation and communication of the NAMA features for all the
interested parties and relevant stakeholders should occur, with special
emphasis on the population of Belize, the commercial and industrial
sector. Communication should include information on the responsible
parties, objectives of the project, opportunities for participation,
and general conditions and requirements for beneficiaries.
Local technical capacities
The institutions in charge of the management of the SWH NAMA should
acquire and improve the technical capacities requirements for the
effective development and implementation of the NAMA, the sustainment
of its results and the maintenance of the equipment. For example, some
minimum requirements to be strengthened are:
-
Solar radiation and solar potential analysis and operative
maximization of the resource, by districts.
-
Sizing of the several types of solar water heaters, according to
their operative differences and beneficiary requirements.
-
Installation and maintenance of the several SWH systems.
-
Identification of technical feasibility: Requirements for correct
installation of SWH systems, as water quality, roof load capacity,
installation point optimization for loss reductions, radiation gains,
and costs reduction on intervention in structures.
Standards or regulation definitions
Standards, regulations or guidelines for technical requirements for
imports, selection and installation of solar water heaters must be
clearly defined, considering:
-
Material resistance of solar water heaters should meet special
climate conditions (hurricanes, for example).
-
Water quality, considering calcium concentrations in some areas in
the south-west region.
-
Load capacity of the roof structure.
Pilot projects
A public outreach activity should be promoted in order to identify
non-government associations that could access funds to develop
demonstrative SWH projects. Those SWH systems must be installed by
certified professionals and provide maintenance for two years at least,
including training for at least two members of the community
association.
Bidding rules and eligibility criteria must be developed according to
technical documents (prefeasibility studies). Also, areas of
socio-economic interest, disposition of the association to data
collection for MRV and the ability to cooperate with other entities
that want to replicate their experience, must be considered for the
selection.
Technical information
The availability of public radiation records is a key requirement for
the development of solar potential studies. Additionally, a list of
suppliers containing at least the available equipment, sizes, reference
prices, installation options, and technical services should be
developed.
Monitoring, report and verification
For the MRV framework, the following considerations should be fulfilled:
-
The emissions and energy consumption baseline should be improved with
more reliable data, informed by industries, hotels and a significant
sample of households.
-
Installation of SWH systems must be recorded, including size,
replaced energy consumption and solar fraction data.
-
Monitoring and reporting horizon should be clearly stated.
-
Communication channels for monitoring should be determined, along
with data recording, measuring and gathering requirements.
Financial and technical resources
needs estimation
The estimation of the financial and technical requirements estimation
is based on referential values for the proposed activities of the SWH
NAMA development and implementation.
First, for the direct implementation of SWH devices, considering the
referential values of the different SWH systems, provided by Chromagen
(GREENSUN Ltd., 2016), the implementation costs for the several sectors
are shown in the table below.
Table 7. Unit costs of SWH
system.
Source: Own elaboration
With the values presented in the table above, and considering the
amount of buildings to be covered by the NAMA, as detailed in the
previous report, the total values for the full implementation are shown
in table 8. These costs are expected to be covered by the users
(private sector).
On the other hand, the costs of the planning and the technical
requirements of the SWH NAMA are shown in the following table.
Table 8. Total costs by sector.
Source: Own elaboration
Table 9. Technical requirement
costs.
Source: Own elaboration, 2017
ELABORATION OF AN MRV FRAMEWORK DESIGN
FOR THE SWH NAMA
The main objective of the elaboration of an MRV framework is to
generate an appropriate evaluation system for the SWH NAMA impacts,
considering the measurement, reporting and verification specific
requirements of this project. This MRV system must accurately account
for the expected GHG emission reductions from the use of solar water
heating systems, replacing fossil fuel-based heaters. The system is
intended to have a gradual approach, according to the implementation of
the NAMA. Thus, the MRV system can be equally applied to earlier phases
of the project and also fully operational ones.
The MRV system will be based on several indicators that aim to
consistently measure the impacts of the NAMA, considering the values of
transparency, consistency, comparability completeness, and accuracy
according to the IPCC 2006 guidelines. All the data from the project
activity must be collected and stored by the NAMA coordinating entity,
while using an integrated system to allow access to all the information.
Measurement
Monitoring activities from the MRV framework have two main purposes,
according to the Greenhouse Gas Protocol’s document “Policy and Action
Standard”:
-
To monitor and measure relevant indicators to assess the
implementation progress of the SWH NAMA.
-
To estimate GHG impacts through data collection for the ex-post GHG
emission reduction calculation.
Monitoring procedures
The monitoring process will cover several data collection activities,
considering the relevant indicators required for the assessment of the
SWH NAMA development.
The main data collection method will be the development of specific
surveys to be applied to a representative sample of the household and
commercial sectors. This sample will be determined for each district,
in order to assess the results of the SWH NAMA in each one, considering
the different conditions and situations across the country.
Furthermore, for the industrial sector, surveys may be applied to all
the available industries.
The collected data for the monitoring process should be stored in a
specifically designed system for the SWH NAMA, which allows the data
input from several locations and access to the updated data.
Indicators
The following table shows the proposed indicators to be measured for
the assessment of the SWH NAMA results.
Table 10. MRV indicators.
Source: Own elaboration, 2017
Reporting
Reports under the MRV framework of the SWH NAMA will meet international
requirements, providing detailed and consistent information for
decision making at the national level on programmes and policies.
International standards on GHG emission reductions will be considered
for reports, in order to make a proper comparison between NAMA and
baseline scenario. Also, considering the measurement methodologies
described above, emission reduction results will be available in both
disaggregated and complete data.
The MRV system will provide relevant information for the national
reports of Belize to the UNFCCC, considering the scope, actions and
results of GHG mitigation from the SWH NAMA implementation.
Nevertheless, the information provided by the NAMA reports won’t match
the level of detail required by the national reports, serving only as
an input. In the long term, it is expected that the data collected and
calculated by the NAMA could be improved and be useful for GHG
Inventories and National Communications. Also, annual reports will be
delivered and will be available for relevant stakeholders, both private
and public institutions.
Verification
Data and calculations for GHG emissions reduction of the SWH NAMA will
be subject to a series of verification processes to ensure the values
of transparency, consistency, comparability completeness, and accuracy
according to the IPCC 2006 guidelines. Initially, collected data will
pass through a basic verification, analyzing its internal and temporal
consistency, and correcting or excluding atypical values if necessary.
Emission reduction calculation and data entered will be subjected to an
independent audit, by a government agency or organization, analyzing
the data collection, transcription and emission reduction calculation
process. The MRV framework for the SWH NAMA will consider the
recommendations made on the IPCC 2006 guidelines. Additionally,
emission reduction calculations will be verified by a third-party
independent institution which will reproduce the calculations with the
collected data, including comparisons between the calculations and
relevant information as National Greenhouse Inventories. The MRV
framework stated above is matched with the IPCC 2006 guidelines. The
scheduling of audits by external institutions can guarantee those
requirements.
NEXT STEPS FOR THE SWH NAMA
A series of activities have been identified in order to continue with
the NAMA preparation and implementation. The most relevant next steps
for the SWH NAMA preparation and implementation are the completion of
the NAMA proposal, designing the specific MRV system and the financial
mechanism for the implementation of the NAMA. The following table
summarizes the proposed next steps and their related outcomes,
responsible and timeframe.
Table 11. Next steps for the
SWH NAMA.
Source: Own elaboration, 2017
CONCLUSIONS
The relevant institutional stakeholders are identified and assessed in
this NAMA concept. The identified NAMA implementing entity is the
Energy Unit of the Ministry of Public Service, Energy and Public
Utilities, working with the collaboration from the NCCO.
Currently, the main barriers that this technology faces in Belize are
the high cost of the devices, which is partially explained due to high
import taxes; the lack of incentives to install the devices; and the
lack of knowledge about the technology. In addition, in the residential
sector the hot water demand is not constant over the year (hot water is
mainly demanded in winter), and some of the existing households need to
be retrofitted to incorporate the additional plumbing for installation
of SWHs. The lack of human resources and technical capacities, and also
the unavailability of national public funds to support the
implementation of the NAMA are important limitations that should be
addressed for implementation of the NAMA.
The GHG emission reduction for the residential and tourism (commercial)
sector was calculated. The overall GHG emission reduction calculated in
this NAMA concept represents an initial estimation of the GHG
emission reduction potential of the SWH NAMA, and could be improved if
new data is collected in the future. Thus, additional efforts are
required in order to collect enough data to improve the GHG emission
reductions estimation. An MRV framework is proposed, consistent with
the principles of transparency, consistency, comparability,
completeness, and accuracy according to the IPCC 2006 guidelines. The
proposed MRV framework will require the participation of the different
stakeholders from Belize, such as the Energy Unit, NCCO, SIB and BBS,
in order to achieve a robust system to follow up the progress and
results of the SWH NAMA.
The identified financial and technical needs for the SWH NAMA
implementation involve administration and financing of the NAMA, direct
investment on SWH (expected to be covered directly by the SWH users,
who should be given the proper incentives and technical support),
divulgation and communication, local technical capacities, definition
of standards or regulation, implementation of pilot projects,
availability of technical information and implementation and operation
of a MRV system. In this context, a key factor of success will be the
implementation of pilot projects, which will serve as demonstrative
projects to get the acceptance and interest among the local population
in order to increase the awareness of the SWH technology among the
population of the country. In addition, these pilot projects will be
considered as the first stage of a phased implementation of the NAMA.
Thus, the functioning of the MRV system for the pilot projects will
provide critical information to domestic stakeholders that should
inform any changes to elements of the proposed system as part of the
final design of a national system. In this way the pilot projects can
be seen as part of an incremental step-wise approach to the final
development of a national system. The dissemination and divulgation, as
well as the capacity building among the institutional stakeholders and
the private sector is also relevant for the success of the SWH
implementation and operation, to ensure that the stakeholders as able
to acquire the necessary skills.
The next steps towards the SWH NAMA implementation involve the
completion of the NAMA proposal, designing the specific MRV system and
the financial mechanism for the implementation of the NAMA, among other
activities. The development of the financial mechanism for the
implementation of the NAMA shall assess and include the appropriate
financial instruments to provide the right incentives to consumers as
well as to reduce the upfront costs. The establishment of policies,
such as reducing the import taxes and to provide additional support to
afford the initial cost of the technology, is important to help to
overcome the identified barriers.
The current NAMA concept proposal has the acceptance of the relevant
institutional stakeholders, who have validated this proposal through a
National workshop, where the NAMA concept was presented and discussed.
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1 1 USD = 2 BZ
2 Considering Belize’s NDC
3 Based on Belize’s Sustainable Energy Strategy